Our Forecasters - ACIF Forecasts

ACIF Forecasts have been around for more than 12 years, produced by our Construction Forecasting Council. They have won a reputation for providing detailed, accurate and affordable information to help organisations plan for their futures – private and public sector alike. Our users include organisations across the spectrum of activity and size. The Forecast data informs our Australian Construction Market Report, Customised Forecasts Dashboard and the Forecast Briefings.

Kerry Barwise has led the production of the ACIF Forecasts since 2012, supported by a team of expert forecasters.

Kerry Barwise
Director, Barwise Consulting

Kerry Barwise specialises in providing economic and policy advice to business and government. He commenced his career in the Commonwealth Treasury spanning Commonwealth state financial relations, infrastructure finance and structural policy reform, especially of major infrastructure services in transport and energy. After 11 years in Treasury he shifted to consulting in the private sector rising after 19 years to senior executive roles and Directorships in the Allen Consulting Group, the Centre for International Economics and ACIL Allen Consulting.

Kerry has led forecasting for ACIF for the last 3 years. He has also undertaken analysis for the Property Council of Australia, ASBEC, the Australian Institute of Architects, government planning and infrastructure departments and many others that examined the interplay of economic, social and environmental capital.

Peter Downes
Director, Outlook Economics

Peter established Outlook Economics in 2009. Clients have included the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank, the Commonwealth Treasury, the Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet, Rio Tinto International and the RBA and a number of other Government Departments and Financial Institutions. Outlook Economics specializes in macroeconomic modelling and forecasting.

Peter was formerly director of the macroeconomic modelling unit at the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in Paris responsible for coordinating the OECD Economic Outlook projections for the world economy. The modelling area also produced regular analysis for the OECD Economic Policy Committee.

Before working at the OECD, Peter worked at the Australian Treasury (1984-2001). At the Australian Treasury he was responsible for some time for the Treasury Macroeconomic (TRYM) model, including the development and public release of the 1997 version of the model.

Kevin Toohey
Analyst – Toohey Consulting

Kevin specialises in financial modelling and quantitative analysis. He developed these skills after 12 years’ experience in investment banking with Bankers Trust. Since leaving BT Kevin has worked on a consultant basis with numerous clients across a wide range of industry sectors and has a particular focus on structured finance and mergers and acquisitions assignments.

He has much experience in modelling infrastructure businesses, having completed many assignments in the electricity and gas transmission and distribution sectors, transportation sector and water treatment sector.

Reflecting his interest and ability in developing solutions to complex mathematical and analytical problems Kevin is also regularly involved in areas outside of finance. For example, Kevin developed the demographic engine and regional immigration gravity model that underpinned the ‘Our Nation’ tool with the Allen Consulting Group for the Property Council of Australia.



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